03-19-2026
U.S. forces launch air raids on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz to reopen the vital waterway, requesting $200 billion in funding amid projections of prolonged conflict and oil price surges. President Trump directs advisors to abandon mass deportation plans, scaling back arrests and raids to avoid political backlash ahead of midterms.
03-05-2026
U.S. Central Command expands intelligence operations to a 100-day minimum against Iran amid escalating missile attacks, plummeting interception rates, and severe disruptions to global energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump endorses the SAVE Act on Truth Social, igniting backlash from Marjorie Taylor Greene over its transgender surgery provisions despite subsequent edits to the post.
02-24-2026
Polymarket odds climb to 85% favoring Democrats to capture the House in the 2026 midterms amid Trump’s midterm crisis from stalled deportations, struck-down tariffs, and organizational woes. Trump delivers a record 110-minute State of the Union address boasting border triumphs, economic highs, and foreign policy wins like Iran’s nuclear setback, drawing Democratic rebukes on affordability and corruption.
02-12-2026
ICE Director Tom Homan announces the complete withdrawal of agents from Operation Metro Surge in Minneapolis after 4,000 arrests amid riots and two deaths. Democrats demand strict restrictions on ICE and Border Patrol as a condition for Homeland Security funding, risking a partial shutdown of key agencies.
01-16-2026
President Trump backs down from invoking the Insurrection Act to quell riots in Minneapolis, declaring the situation stabilized despite ongoing unrest. The Trump administration reviews ICE raid tactics amid poor polling and backlash over deportation optics following a fatal shooting incident.