EP 1643: IRAN WAR WATCH: US Assembles Largest Force Since Iraq War???

February 18, 2026 | Wednesday
Tags: rupert-murdoch, jd-vance, donald-trump

The United States deploys its largest naval and air forces off Iran’s coast since 2003, preparing for potential strikes on nuclear sites and leadership amid stalled nuclear talks. A Wall Street Journal editorial warns that mass deportations risk economic sabotage through labor shortages in key industries.

IRAN MILITARY BUILDUP

United States forces have amassed the largest naval and air presence off Iran’s coast since the 2003 Iraq invasion, featuring two aircraft carriers, over a dozen missile destroyers, F-35 and F-22 fighters, command aircraft, and enhanced air defenses. Reports from the Wall Street Journal and New York Times confirm the USS Gerald Ford strike group, accompanied by three destroyers, entered the Mediterranean en route to join the USS Abraham Lincoln group. Pentagon officials indicate readiness for action as early as Saturday, with Axios sources specifying capabilities for striking Iran’s nuclear sites at Fordow, Esfahan, and Natanz, ballistic missile facilities, and leadership targets. Indirect talks in Geneva on Tuesday yielded Iran’s request for two weeks to refine proposals, but U.S. envoys reiterated demands for complete nuclear capitulation, dismissing partial concessions like temporary enrichment limits. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, after recent White House visits, secured accelerated U.S. support to preempt Iranian missile barrages, shifting Israel’s security cabinet meeting to Sunday. This follows last June’s U.S. strikes that extended Iran’s nuclear breakout time from three months to two years, amid destroyed proxy networks in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria.

The force composition—two carriers and squadrons rather than the six carriers and 1,300 aircraft of Desert Storm or 863 aircraft of Iraqi Freedom—precludes a ground invasion or full regime change, as no 200,000-troop coalition or opposition ground forces exist. Instead, it equips a sustained weeks-long air campaign for decapitation strikes on political and military leaders, degradation of remaining nuclear infrastructure, and missile launch sites, mirroring the limited Venezuela operation where one carrier group neutralized ports, extracted a key figure, and compelled the successor regime to negotiate oil concessions. Netanyahu’s repeated lobbying since December exploits Iran’s post-uprising weakness, depleted missile stocks, and economic collapse, positioning the U.S. for gunboat diplomacy: capitulate or face rubble-enforced talks. Midterm elections constrain Trump to a quick, low-casualty operation avoiding Strait of Hormuz disruptions or prolonged casualties at Al Udeid, with strikes likely targeting Supreme Leader Khamenei to fracture Revolutionary Guard loyalty and enable a pliable remnant government.

This buildup advances Israel’s hegemony by neutralizing the last regional counterweight, as U.S.-aligned states like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Iraq, and Syria encircle a post-Iran Middle East. Iran’s stalling—producing 150 missiles in two weeks or securing Russian helicopters—cannot offset U.S. superiority, rendering diplomacy a prelude to action within two weeks, per Omani and Swiss ultimatums. Trump faces no viable alternative, as halting now permits Iranian rebuilding and integration, squandering Israel’s gains against Hamas, Hezbollah, and Assad. The operation’s success hinges on post-strike psychology: a decapitated regime may yield oil access and missile curbs, but failure risks escalation without ground commitment, perpetuating cycles of strikes every few years.

MASS DEPORTATIONS BLOCKED

A Wall Street Journal editorial, owned by Rupert Murdoch, argues mass deportations threaten America’s “virtuous cycle” of labor growth, citing zero native workforce expansion from falling fertility and aging populations offset by immigration. It claims the 3,000 daily ICE arrest quota equates to economic sabotage, with undocumented workers dominating construction, data centers, manufacturing, energy, and housing; deporting 675,000 last year alone disrupted these sectors. Peterson Institute projections warn 1.3 million deportations raise consumer prices 1.5% in three years via labor shortages, while Brookings estimates $40-60 billion lost consumer spending slows GDP. The piece questions ICE’s ROI, invoking 1990 Immigration Act expansions like H-1B visas and chain migration lobbied by the Chamber of Commerce to sustain profits amid demographic decline.

Deportations numbered 230,000 in 2025, far below promises, shifting to “criminal illegal aliens” only—violent offenders atop illegal entry—echoing Obama-era selectivity, with carve-outs for jobholders via H-2A visas for farm workers and no raids on firms over 50 employees. Trump intervened after Hyundai’s Georgia plant deported 300 South Koreans, apologizing to the governor; early ICE actions at meatpacking plants and Home Depot lots ceased post-Wall Street pressure amid inflation and tariffs. This protects low-wage labor in agriculture, hospitality, construction, and delivery, where 10 million removals equate to subtracting Chicago’s metro GDP, slashing consumers, spiking wages, and fueling inflation that doomed Democrats in 2024.

Chamber of Commerce and billionaires like Home Depot’s Bernard Marcus and Uline fund Republicans, prioritizing profits over rhetoric; Trump’s gestures—street patrols for optics, criminal focus—shield working illegals comprising 30 million, as GDP contraction and 2% price hikes risk midterm wipeouts. GOP balances working-class votes from coal miners, ranchers, and factory towns against Wall Street donors, using cultural appeals like “build the wall” for elections while exempting economic contributors. Even Davos elites now question migration amid AI-driven unemployment, but business incentives ensure endless supply until structural shifts force change, rendering nativist hopes illusory without disrupting capital.

<- PREVIOUS
NEXT ->